This prediction, of course, is based on the premise that negarchical security arrangements are the only alternative to real state arrangements. Deibert’s framework does not allow for the conceptuatlization of the emergence of a third (fourth, fifth, etc.) form of security arrangements. [Think, for example of the European Union, where there very strong regional movements (Spain, Great Britain, France, Italy) at the same time as a strong centralizing impulse (the establishment of a central European bureaucracy in Brussels).

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